Forward-looking: All issues thought of, there’s room for optimism. “Nothing like this has ever happened to the economy in our lifetimes but money, you know, bringing the economy back and doing money, that’s more of a reversible thing than bringing people back to life. We’re going to take the pain in the economic dimension – huge pain – in order to minimize the pain in the disease and death dimension,” Gates mentioned.
Microsoft co-founder and longtime philanthropist Bill Gates in a latest TED Connects sequence interview in regards to the Coronavirus mentioned he believes that we’d like an “extreme shutdown so that in six to 10 weeks, if things go well, then you can start opening back up.”
“Our goal here is to get to the point where a very small percentage of the population is infected,” Gates added, and to do this, you want a mixture of testing and isolation.
Had the US acted sooner, issues might have been very completely different.
“If you act when you have hundreds of cases, you may be able to contain it by doing great testing and great contact tracing and restricting foreigners coming in without as much damage to your economy. The US has passed this opportunity to control without shutdown so that the worst case of what was happening in Wuhan in the beginning or in Northern Italy, you know, the last few weeks, that we avoid that but we did not act fast enough to have an ability to avoid the shutdown.”
One factor that we could have enjoying in our favor, at the very least within the northern hemisphere, is seasonality.
“Respiratory viruses, to some degree, they all are seasonal. We don’t know how seasonal this one is but there’s a reasonable chance that the force of infection will be going down,” Gates mentioned.
The philanthropist additionally notes that whereas Covid-19 is extra infectious than MERS or SARS, it isn’t as lethal.
What’s particularly chilling is the truth that practically 5 years in the past, Gates stood on stage at a TED Talk occasion and predicted that we’d not be prepared for the subsequent international outbreak. Low and behold, right here we’re, and he was proper.
Masthead credit score: Frederic Legrand