Hospitals in Salford, Stockport and Bolton are already full in accordance with the evaluation, which has been shared with The Guardian.
A neighborhood spike in Covid-19 infections pushed them to most capability by Friday, leaving them with no spare beds wherein to deal with the rising quantity of sufferers.
It comes amid ongoing clashes between ministers and northern leaders over the phrases beneath which the world will enter Tier 3 of the Government’s Covid alert system.
The doc means that Greater Manchester’s hospitals are hurtling in the direction of breaking level – unable to deal with the quantity of virus sufferers needing life-saving emergency care.
By Friday, 82 per cent of important care beds within the area – 211 out of 257 – had been already being utilized by Covid victims or different critically unwell sufferers, The Guardian reported.
The disclosures come after one other doc, obtained by the Manchester Evening News, confirmed that the area is set to endure extra hospital deaths by late November than it noticed on the peak of the pandemic in April.
Some of the world’s hospitals, together with these in Tameside and Stockport, might have double and even treble the quantity of sufferers needing intensive care by November 10 than they can accommodate, the second report suggests.
“These projections paint a stark picture, with the possibility in a worst-case scenario that some intensive care units in the city potentially run out of beds within weeks,” Dr Rob Harwood, chair of the British Medical Association’s consultants committee, advised the paper.
“They additionally counsel that the quantity of affected person deaths might even overtake these seen through the peak of the pandemic earlier this 12 months.
“The final thing we need to see is a repeat of the numbers of circumstances – and the next pressures on hospitals – that we noticed again in April, however worryingly this evaluation forecasts simply that.
“The scenario within the area is alarming, with the quantity of new infections remaining worryingly excessive, and medical doctors are extremely involved that until the speed of transmission is curbed urgently, it is doable that we might quickly see an extra improve in sufferers needing intensive care and, tragically, a rise in deaths.”
A spokesperson for the NHS in Greater Manchester advised The Guardian: “We are monitoring the scenario with our hospital admissions, general beds and ICU beds very, very carefully.
“It’s common for 80 to 85 per cent of ICU beds to be in use right now of 12 months and our hospitals work collectively if there are explicit pressures in anyone space, to make sure one of the best take care of sufferers who want the excessive stage of help ICU supplies, each for Covid and for different causes.”
Prof Semple spoke of the “dire situation” on Wednesday, as Tier Three measures had been imposed on the town area.
“We have got over 300 patients in beds and our intensive care capacity is currently running at 90 per cent,” he warned.
“At this rate we are looking at exceeding healthcare capacity in the next week or so.”