Fresh food provide shortages, a hike in grocery store prices and panic shopping for forward of Christmas might hit the UK if it leaves the EU with out a deal.
The five-page doc says ‘vulnerable groups’ and ‘low-income’ households can be most affected by the worth will increase.
As the UK is ready to go away the EU on October 31, with lower than eight weeks till Christmas, provide chains can be put underneath strain and ‘certain types of fresh food supply will decrease’, says the doc.
Farmers can be hit laborious throughout the busiest time of the yr when the ‘UK growing season will have to come to an end’.
Empty grocery store cabinets might turn into a actuality, as there’s a ‘risk that panic buying will cause or exacerbate food supply disruption’, it provides.
In complete, the doc outlines 20 nationwide issues, together with rioting, medical provide shortages, delays on the border and a ‘significant’ enhance in vitality prices.
DEFRA wrote within the papers: ‘Certain kinds of recent food provide will lower. Critical dependencies for the food provide chain (comparable to key enter elements, chemical substances and packaging) could also be in shorter provide.
‘In mixture, these two components won’t trigger an general scarcity of food within the UK however will scale back availability and alternative of merchandise and will enhance worth, which might influence susceptible teams.
‘The UK rising season may have come to an finish and the Agri-food provide chain can be underneath elevated strain on the time of yr, attributable to preparations for Christmas, which is the busiest time of yr for food retailers.
‘Government will not be able to fully anticipate all potential impacts to the Agri-food chain. There is a risk that panic buying will cause or exacerbate food supply disruption’.
What does Operation Yellowhammer warn of?
- Three months of disruption at Channel crossings
- Two-and-a-half day delays for lorries getting into the UK
- Immigration delays for UK vacationers heading to Europe
- Rise in protests and public dysfunction
- Disruption to gasoline supplies
- ‘Significant’ electrical energy worth rises
- ‘Severe extended delays’ to medication supplies
- Animal illness outbreaks
- Reduction in supplies of recent food
- Supermarket worth rises
- Lack of unpolluted water attributable to failure in provide of chemical substances
- Breakdown in sharing of regulation enforcement information with EU international locations
- Gibraltar not ready sufficient
- Fishing wars between UK and EU vessels
- Hard border in Ireland